one of the things developers will be able to consider when deciding where to site future resorts -thanks to some smart location analysis software that can predict the problems likely to befall winter sports resorts before they are built. Mountain communities struggling to cope with the loss of industries such as copper mining can see winter sports as a potential lifeline, says Jordan Silberman, a geographer at the University of Delaware in Newark. But it doesn't always work out. Some prospective resorts have suffered severe soil erosion due to the mass felling of trees to create multiple ski runs. And the threat to wildlife habitats increases as holiday traffic begins snaking up slim mountain passes not designed to take such a volume of traffic. "Increased traffic volume in one [US] county wiped out a large herd of elk," reports Silberman.
Some prospective resorts have suffered severe soil erosion due to the mass felling of trees
Eager developers might also overlook the fact that snowfall alone is no guarantee of success. If local humidity is consistently too high, you get "wet, heavy snow rather than the dry, fluffy powder snow" so beloved of skiers and snow boarders, he says. Slope geometry can also affect the risk of avalanches.
In the January edition of Applied Geography, Silberman and colleague Peter Rees reveal software that identifies the best candidate locations for winter sports (DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2009.10.005). To use their geographical information system (GIS) you first enter the type of business model the developer is seeking: a small, exclusive resort, or a large, mass market venue.
The software then homes in on the preferred general region and seeks out those locations with the combinations of available land and humidity levels most likely to produce powder snow. Among many other factors, it also analyses accessibility by road, slope steepness - to work out the risk of avalanches - and the likely erosion from tree felling. A key factor is the ready availability of electricity to power the ski lifts.
"This lets us rank the locations for skiing, snowboarding, ice-climbing and snowmobiling," says Silberman.
In the recession, resort developers are focusing on small scale backcountry resorts, says Ryan Bidwell, director of environmental group Colorado Wild. "So this GIS model may be better suited to investigating what, if any, additional expansion of existing ski areas may be justified," he says.

